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2024-12-14 03:20:14

Chen Guo, China Securities: The 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in all directions, and the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Chen Guo, chief strategy officer of China Securities, said that the meeting had seven highlights, including clarifying the growth target and fiscal and monetary policy measures, expanding domestic demand in all directions as the top priority of the policy, focusing on "AI+" in science and technology, focusing on implementation of reform measures, paying attention to coping with external shocks in opening up, strengthening the expression of real estate policies, and increasing efforts to improve people's livelihood. Chen Guo said that further RRR cuts and interest rate cuts from the end of 2024 to 2025 are worth looking forward to, and the easing of the liquidity environment has become a market consensus. However, this does not mean that liquidity is rampant, because the growth of money supply in the scale of social financing still continues the requirement of matching the expected target of the overall price level of economic growth. Chen Guo believes that the 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the strength and direction of the policy are in line with expectations. With the support of policy expectations and liquidity, it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of volatility. From the perspective of investment strategy, Chen Guo suggested focusing on non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain and other sectors. In terms of theme, it is suggested to pay attention to investment opportunities such as "duality" and "two innovations", supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises and CSI A500 index.Fat Donglai is working out stricter measures to solve the problem of purchasing, including real-name purchase and regular quantitative purchase system. On December 13th, Yu Donglai issued a document saying: Fat Donglai is working out stricter and more effective measures! In the future, including real-name purchase and regular quantitative purchase system! Discuss and formulate relevant systems to control purchasing behavior and lift the membership of permanent fat east!The White House commuted the sentences of 1,500 people in one day, and Biden pardoned 39 people in one day. According to Agence France-Presse reported on December 12, US President Biden commuted the sentences of nearly 1,500 people and pardoned 39 people at the end of his term. The White House said that this was the "largest" leniency action in a single day in American history. Biden announced on the 12th that about 1,500 people would be commuted, and at the same time, 39 non-violent offenders would be pardoned, saying that they had turned over a new leaf and were committed to making the community safer. (Reference message)


The concept of first-round economy continued to increase the daily limit of more than 10 constituent stocks, and the concept of first-round economy continued to increase in intraday trading. Media games, IP economy, performing arts and travel, and Meta-Universe all rose well. More than 10 constituent stocks such as Aofei Entertainment, Lisheng Sports, Dafeng Industry, Tianxiaxiu, and Roman shares rose by more than 10%.On the 13th, the No.20 rubber fell by 2.05%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 13th, the main contract No.20 rubber 2502 was closed, with a turnover of 159,100 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 5,142 lots. A total of 205,200 lots were traded in the No.20 rubber futures contract, an increase of 8,176 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 84,200 lots, an increase of 812 lots over the previous day. Short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 94,500 lots, a decrease of 1,708 lots from the previous day. (Sina Futures)Hyundai Motor set up 200 million technology companies in Shanghai, including a number of AI-related businesses. According to Tianyancha App, Hyundai Kemo (Shanghai) Technology Co., Ltd. was recently established, with NOH YONG HO as the legal representative and a registered capital of 213 million RMB. Its business scope includes application system integration services in artificial intelligence industry, Internet of Things application services, data processing services, artificial intelligence basic software development, artificial intelligence application software development, artificial intelligence theory and algorithm software development, etc. According to shareholder information, the company is wholly owned by Hyundai Motor Co., Ltd.


Guangdong Electric Power A and others set up enterprise service companies with AI business. The enterprise search APP shows that recently, Guangdong Energy Group Enterprise Service Co., Ltd. was established, with the legal representative of Xu Lin and the registered capital of 150 million yuan. Its business scope includes: artificial intelligence basic resources and technology platform; Research and development of intelligent robots; Artificial intelligence industry application system integration services. Enterprise equity penetration shows that the company is jointly held by Guangdong Electric Power A and others.On the 13th, silver fell by 1.91%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 13th, the main contract silver was 2,502, up or down by -1.91%, with a turnover of 1,004,900 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were net, and the difference position was 30,444 lots. The total turnover of silver futures contracts was 1,505,900 lots, an increase of 417,500 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 335,600 lots, a decrease of 15,200 lots from the previous day. The short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 251,300 lots, an increase of 17,500 lots over the previous day. (Sina Futures)What is the significance of fiscal and monetary policy adjustment? Expert: The path of "more active and promising" fiscal policy has been clarified. The Central Economic Work Conference, which closed yesterday, pointed out that a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy should be implemented next year. What kind of signals are released behind these policies? In terms of fiscal policy, the Central Economic Work Conference requested that a more active fiscal policy should be implemented next year, so as to improve the fiscal deficit ratio, increase the issuance of ultra-long-term special government bonds, increase the issuance of special bonds for local governments, optimize the structure of fiscal expenditure, and secure the bottom line of "three guarantees" at the grassroots level. Experts said that these requirements clarified the path of "more active and promising" fiscal policy. Focusing on vigorously boosting consumption, the Central Economic Work Conference requires that special actions to boost consumption should be implemented next year, the basic pension for retirees should be appropriately raised, and the "two new" policies (large-scale equipment renewal and trade-in of consumer goods) should be implemented. (CCTV News)

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